Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-2
Real Madrid vs FC Baia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATM
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
ZAR
0 - 1
RMA
37%
26%
36%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
BAI
0 - 0
RMA
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
RMA
1 - 0
SEV
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
VAD
2 - 2
RMA
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Baia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
BAI
0 - 0
RMA
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
BAI
2 - 2
JIU
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1981 |
SPO
8 - 1
BAI
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
BAI
5 - 0
STB
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 1981 |
6 - 1
BAI
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |