Real Madrid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 2
RMA
11%
21%
68%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
RMA
3 - 1
MLL
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
RMA
1 - 1
VAD
80%
14%
7%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
RMA
3 - 1
ZAR
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2005 |
VAD
0 - 0
RMA
21%
25%
54%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ESP
2 - 2
BET
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
DEP
4 - 1
ESP
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ATH
1 - 1
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ESP
4 - 1
OSA
56%
25%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
VCF
3 - 0
ESP
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |