Real Madrid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
OVI
2 - 3
RMA
31%
25%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
RMA
1 - 0
RAY
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1996 |
BET
1 - 1
RMA
40%
25%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
RMA
3 - 0
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
DEP
1 - 1
RMA
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
ESP
5 - 1
EXT
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
ESP
1 - 0
APO
85%
11%
5%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
ATH
2 - 2
ESP
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ESP
1 - 0
VAD
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
APO
2 - 2
ESP
19%
25%
55%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |