Real Madrid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ATH
4 - 1
RMA
43%
23%
34%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
RMA
8 - 0
SEV
86%
9%
5%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
GRA
0 - 3
RMA
17%
23%
61%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
RMA
6 - 1
RSO
90%
7%
3%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
RMA
7 - 1
WIE
88%
8%
4%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ESP
1 - 1
UDL
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATH
36%
25%
40%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
SEV
3 - 0
ESP
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
ESP
1 - 0
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
RSO
2 - 1
ESP
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |