Real Madrid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
VCF
0 - 0
RMA
57%
20%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
RMA
3 - 0
CEL
83%
11%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
SPO
1 - 1
RMA
29%
23%
47%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
RMA
1 - 2
VAD
81%
12%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 2
RMA
27%
22%
50%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCB
43%
23%
35%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
ESP
2 - 1
VCF
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
ESP
4 - 0
CEL
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
DEP
1 - 0
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |