Real Madrid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1950 |
VAD
3 - 1
RMA
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
RMA
2 - 2
VAD
78%
13%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1950 |
ATM
1 - 0
RMA
73%
14%
13%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
RMA
6 - 3
ATM
62%
18%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
GIM
1 - 7
RMA
44%
21%
35%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1950 |
ESP
1 - 1
ATH
47%
20%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
82%
11%
8%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
ESP
2 - 2
FCB
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
DEP
2 - 1
ESP
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
ESP
4 - 1
GIR
87%
9%
5%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |