Real Madrid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.1%
14.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
HER
0 - 1
RMA
20%
21%
59%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1935 |
RMA
0 - 0
SEV
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1935 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
36%
22%
42%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
RMA
6 - 1
ARE
79%
12%
9%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
FCB
5 - 0
RMA
48%
21%
31%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
ESP
1 - 0
FCB
49%
20%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1935 |
BAD
5 - 2
ESP
20%
19%
61%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
ESP
3 - 0
ECG
90%
7%
3%
|
79 | 33 | 46 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1935 |
ECG
4 - 2
ESP
16%
18%
66%
|
79 | 31 | 48 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
ESP
3 - 2
OVI
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |