Real Madrid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
ATH
0 - 2
RMA
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1933 |
ARE
1 - 5
RMA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
RMA
4 - 1
RAC
63%
19%
19%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
RMA
6 - 0
VCF
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
BET
1 - 2
ESP
34%
23%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1933 |
FCB
1 - 1
ESP
68%
17%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 1
ALA
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
VCF
1 - 1
ESP
37%
22%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
ESP
3 - 0
RSO
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |