Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Real Madrid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1918 |
ESP
3 - 0
RMA
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1917 |
RMA
2 - 1
ARE
91%
7%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1917 |
RMA
0 - 0
ARE
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1917 |
FEB
0 - 1
RMA
12%
19%
69%
|
83 | 14 | 69 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1917 |
FEB
2 - 2
RMA
12%
20%
69%
|
83 | 13 | 70 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1918 |
ESP
3 - 0
RMA
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1915 |
ATH
5 - 0
ESP
65%
18%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1915 |
ESP
3 - 0
SGE
92%
6%
2%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1915 |
SGE
2 - 3
ESP
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
ATH
3 - 1
ESP
63%
19%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |