Real Madrid vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
ATH
2 - 3
RMA
23%
23%
54%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
OVI
0 - 2
RMA
14%
21%
65%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
RMA
3 - 0
LEV
91%
6%
3%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
18%
22%
60%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
RMA
4 - 0
FCB
80%
12%
9%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
ELC
2 - 0
VAD
72%
16%
13%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ATH
3 - 2
ELC
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 1
OVI
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
LEV
0 - 1
ELC
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 1
SEV
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |