Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 9-4
Real Madrid vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.8%
Win probability
4.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.6%
6-0
6%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.2%
5-0
9%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.9%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5%
1.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
ELC
3 - 4
RMA
24%
22%
54%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 1
VCF
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
5 - 0
RSO
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ATM
1 - 0
RMA
32%
24%
44%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 0
SDL
89%
7%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
ELC
3 - 4
RMA
24%
22%
54%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ATH
1 - 1
ELC
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ELC
1 - 2
FCB
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
RSO
2 - 1
ELC
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ELC
1 - 0
SEV
51%
21%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |