Real Madrid vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.4%
3.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1960 |
NIC
3 - 2
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
ATH
1 - 3
RMA
49%
22%
29%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
RMA
2 - 1
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
23%
24%
53%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
86%
9%
5%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
ELC
3 - 2
RSO
56%
23%
22%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
GRA
0 - 0
ELC
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
ELC
2 - 1
VAD
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 0
ELC
92%
5%
3%
|
64 | 92 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
ELC
1 - 0
OVI
50%
22%
28%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |