Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Real Madrid vs Dynamo Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
BET
3 - 2
RMA
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1999 |
RMA
1 - 0
RAC
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATH
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1999 |
RAC
2 - 6
RMA
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
FCB
3 - 0
RMA
62%
20%
19%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1998 |
LEN
1 - 3
DYN
48%
24%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1998 |
DYN
6 - 2
MEZ
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
DYN
2 - 1
SHA
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1998 |
DYN
2 - 1
PAN
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1998 |
DYN
3 - 0
MET
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | +1 |