Real Madrid vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
RMA
6 - 0
CEL
62%
18%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
OVI
1 - 1
RMA
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
RMA
3 - 1
ESP
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
SEV
1 - 5
RMA
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
RMA
4 - 1
VAD
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
DEP
1 - 2
OVI
44%
22%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
ESP
4 - 1
DEP
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
DEP
2 - 0
SEV
41%
24%
35%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
VAD
1 - 0
DEP
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
DEP
3 - 1
ATH
35%
23%
42%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |