Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Real Madrid vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
RMA
4 - 1
UDL
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
51%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
RMA
1 - 0
SLA
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
HER
1 - 1
RMA
24%
28%
49%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
RMA
3 - 2
VCF
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
CRV
5 - 1
AVE
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 6
CRV
20%
21%
59%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
CRV
2 - 0
PAO
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
PAO
1 - 0
CRV
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1974 |
ATM
0 - 0
CRV
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |