Europa League 1/16
Global 2-1
Real Madrid vs Chornomorets Odessa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATH
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
OSA
0 - 1
RMA
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
58%
22%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
RMA
5 - 0
AEK
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RMA
48%
24%
27%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
BRE
3 - 2
CHO
90%
7%
3%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
CHO
2 - 1
BRE
24%
23%
52%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
LAZ
3 - 0
CHO
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
CHO
1 - 0
LAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |