Real Madrid vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 2
FCB
57%
22%
21%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
0 - 1
ACM
66%
20%
15%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BVB
0 - 2
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RMA
0 - 0
BET
78%
15%
7%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 4
RMA
16%
20%
64%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 2
CHL
79%
14%
8%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
3 - 0
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 4
CEL
73%
17%
11%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
CHL
2 - 2
WRE
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CHL
2 - 1
BOU
65%
20%
15%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |