Champions League Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Real Madrid vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RMA
0 - 0
BET
73%
16%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CAD
0 - 3
RMA
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GET
0 - 0
RMA
11%
20%
69%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 0
RMA
34%
25%
42%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
RMA
2 - 1
FCB
43%
23%
34%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
WHU
0 - 1
CHL
25%
23%
52%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 0
BHA
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
21%
23%
56%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 1
FCP
56%
23%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CRY
1 - 4
CHL
13%
21%
67%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |