Real Madrid vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RMA
1 - 1
GIR
86%
11%
4%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
RBL
3 - 2
RMA
15%
21%
65%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RMA
3 - 1
SEV
76%
16%
8%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
ELC
0 - 3
RMA
6%
16%
78%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RMA
3 - 1
FCB
55%
22%
23%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LIV
0 - 3
CEL
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 1
SHA
39%
23%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
3 - 4
CEL
25%
22%
53%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MHE
0 - 4
CEL
22%
22%
56%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
6 - 1
HIB
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |