Real Madrid vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
DEP
0 - 0
RMA
42%
24%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
RMA
5 - 0
FCB
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1994 |
VAD
0 - 5
RMA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
RMA
2 - 0
OVI
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1994 |
RMA
0 - 2
OBK
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
CEL
0 - 2
BET
48%
28%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
CEL
5 - 0
LUG
87%
10%
3%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
CEL
0 - 0
SEV
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 1
CEL
14%
26%
60%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1994 |
DEP
1 - 2
CEL
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |