Real Madrid vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RMA
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1957 |
RMA
3 - 1
MUD
64%
18%
18%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
UDL
1 - 5
RMA
22%
23%
55%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
RMA
2 - 0
VCF
79%
13%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
RSO
3 - 0
RMA
27%
23%
51%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
CEL
2 - 1
VCF
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
RSO
3 - 0
CEL
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
CEL
0 - 2
FCB
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ATH
1 - 0
CEL
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
CEL
1 - 1
DEP
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |