Real Madrid vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
RMA
1 - 0
VCF
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
UDL
1 - 3
RMA
26%
23%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
RMA
4 - 0
PAR
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
SEV
2 - 0
RMA
48%
21%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
RMA
5 - 1
VAD
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
SEV
7 - 0
CEL
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 0
VAD
58%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
ALA
5 - 1
CEL
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
CEL
0 - 0
FCB
36%
24%
41%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
HER
0 - 2
CEL
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |