Real Madrid vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
SAB
3 - 3
RMA
36%
24%
40%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
RMA
4 - 0
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
RMA
5 - 0
DEP
82%
12%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
CAS
2 - 3
RMA
39%
25%
37%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
CEL
0 - 0
CAS
62%
18%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
ESP
2 - 0
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
CEL
3 - 2
ATH
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
MUR
0 - 2
CEL
49%
21%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
CEL
3 - 3
OVI
49%
20%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |