Real Madrid vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
ARE
4 - 1
RMA
43%
22%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
56%
20%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
ATH
3 - 2
RMA
65%
18%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
55%
20%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
ESP
1 - 0
RMA
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
EUR
2 - 1
RUN
38%
22%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
EUR
2 - 2
FCB
26%
23%
52%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
RAC
2 - 1
EUR
63%
18%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
EUR
2 - 0
OVI
54%
20%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
OVI
4 - 0
EUR
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |