Real Madrid vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.92
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
RAC
2 - 0
RMA
19%
17%
64%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1930 |
ESP
8 - 1
RMA
51%
21%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
RMA
1 - 1
RSO
69%
16%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATM
71%
16%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
RUN
2 - 2
RMA
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
EUR
1 - 2
ESP
12%
15%
73%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
RSO
2 - 0
EUR
87%
8%
5%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
EUR
1 - 2
ARE
40%
23%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
EUR
0 - 3
FCB
26%
23%
51%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
ATH
3 - 0
EUR
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |