Real Madrid vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.5%
7.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1929 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1929 |
ATH
1 - 4
RMA
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1929 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATH
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
RCM
2 - 6
RMA
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
RMA
3 - 1
RCM
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1928 |
VCF
4 - 3
EUR
80%
12%
8%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
VCF
2 - 1
EUR
80%
12%
8%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
EUR
3 - 2
VCF
28%
23%
49%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
EUR
4 - 2
PAT
74%
15%
11%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
RSO
4 - 2
EUR
82%
11%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |