Real Madrid vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
5.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
RMA
5 - 2
BAI
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATM
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
ZAR
0 - 1
RMA
37%
26%
36%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
BAI
0 - 0
RMA
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
MAL
1 - 0
CEL
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
MAL
4 - 1
ANT
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
BET
1 - 1
MAL
70%
18%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
MAL
2 - 3
SLA
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
ANT
0 - 0
MAL
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |