Real Madrid vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
BUR
1 - 2
RMA
19%
27%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
RMA
2 - 0
HSV
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
RMA
1 - 0
SPO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
RMA
2 - 1
BET
82%
12%
5%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
HER
0 - 0
RMA
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
MAL
1 - 0
BET
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1980 |
ZAR
3 - 1
MAL
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
MAL
0 - 1
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
FCB
3 - 0
MAL
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
MAL
1 - 3
RAY
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |