Real Madrid vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
FCB
0 - 0
RMA
57%
23%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATH
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
ZAR
6 - 1
RMA
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
RSO
1 - 1
RMA
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
RMA
4 - 0
MUR
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
MAL
3 - 1
MUR
60%
25%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
ELC
2 - 1
MAL
45%
31%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1975 |
MAL
1 - 1
GRA
54%
27%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
BET
1 - 0
MAL
53%
27%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
MAL
3 - 0
CEL
53%
27%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |