Real Madrid vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
FCB
0 - 0
RMA
50%
27%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
RMA
0 - 0
IPS
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
RMA
4 - 0
ZAR
71%
18%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
IPS
1 - 0
RMA
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
MAL
2 - 0
RSO
53%
27%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
ESP
1 - 1
MAL
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
MAL
1 - 1
CEL
55%
26%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
RAC
1 - 1
MAL
37%
33%
30%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
MAL
3 - 1
ELC
59%
25%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |