Real Madrid vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.4%
9.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
OVI
3 - 1
RMA
22%
23%
55%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
RMA
5 - 2
DEP
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
ATH
2 - 2
RMA
69%
16%
16%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
RMA
3 - 1
VAD
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
VCF
3 - 2
RMA
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
MAL
0 - 3
SEV
40%
23%
36%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
CEL
3 - 1
MAL
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
MAL
2 - 4
RSO
47%
23%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ZAR
0 - 2
MAL
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
MAL
4 - 2
RAC
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |