Real Madrid vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.91
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.2%
4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 2
RMA
45%
22%
33%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
RMA
0 - 2
SEV
70%
16%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
DEP
1 - 0
RMA
29%
23%
48%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
RMA
4 - 3
FCB
71%
16%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
ATH
1 - 0
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
CAS
0 - 3
CEL
32%
22%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
ESP
2 - 3
CAS
89%
7%
4%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
CAS
4 - 0
HER
30%
22%
48%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
CAS
2 - 4
ATM
9%
16%
75%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
OVI
4 - 4
CAS
86%
8%
6%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |