Copa Iberoamericana Final
Global 4-3
Real Madrid vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1994 |
ZAR
4 - 1
RMA
38%
25%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
RMA
0 - 1
FCB
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
ALB
1 - 4
RMA
30%
24%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
RMA
0 - 2
RSO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
SEV
0 - 1
RMA
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1994 |
BOC
2 - 1
DCM
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
GYT
0 - 4
BOC
29%
31%
40%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1994 |
BOC
1 - 1
PLA
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
BOC
0 - 2
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
ESP
0 - 0
BOC
38%
30%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |