Champions League Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Real Madrid vs Budapesti Vasas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1958 |
RMA
5 - 3
VAD
87%
9%
5%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
ATH
0 - 2
RMA
45%
22%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
RMA
4 - 0
SPO
86%
9%
5%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
RSO
2 - 2
RMA
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
SEV
2 - 2
RMA
31%
23%
46%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Budapesti Vasas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1958 |
VAS
4 - 0
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1958 |
AJA
2 - 2
VAS
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
VAS
2 - 1
YOB
54%
21%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1957 |
YOB
1 - 1
VAS
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1957 |
VAS
6 - 1
CSK
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |