Real Madrid vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
18%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ATH
0 - 0
RMA
9%
15%
75%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 2
FUE
95%
5%
1%
|
94 | 55 | 39 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
RMA
3 - 2
MAL
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
APO
0 - 6
RMA
8%
15%
77%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 0
RMA
22%
22%
57%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LEV
1 - 1
BVB
28%
22%
50%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BVB
4 - 4
S04
59%
21%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
BVB
1 - 2
TOT
61%
21%
18%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
STU
2 - 1
BVB
11%
16%
74%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BVB
1 - 3
BYM
29%
23%
48%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |