Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-1
Real Madrid vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
RMA
1 - 0
ZAR
69%
19%
13%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2007 |
BET
0 - 0
RMA
24%
26%
50%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
DEP
2 - 0
RMA
23%
26%
52%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
RMA
0 - 3
REC
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 1
RMA
28%
25%
47%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
OSA
5 - 1
BET
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2007 |
BET
0 - 0
RMA
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
BET
1 - 0
CEL
41%
28%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
GIM
0 - 1
BET
31%
27%
41%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
GET
1 - 1
BET
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |