Champions League Last 16
Global 3-1
Real Madrid vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
OVI
0 - 2
RMA
18%
21%
61%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
RMA
5 - 0
ATM
79%
12%
9%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
FCB
4 - 0
RMA
58%
20%
22%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
RMA
3 - 0
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
BET
2 - 3
RMA
17%
21%
62%
|
92 | 66 | 26 | 0 |