Champions League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Real Madrid vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 3
RMA
8%
15%
77%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BYM
1 - 2
RMA
50%
22%
28%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
LEG
2 - 4
RMA
4%
11%
85%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RMA
3 - 0
ALA
91%
7%
2%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 0
BYM
15%
21%
65%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BYM
1 - 2
RMA
50%
22%
28%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BYM
4 - 1
BVB
56%
22%
23%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
HOF
1 - 0
BYM
18%
22%
61%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BYM
6 - 0
AUG
86%
11%
4%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |