Champions League Semi-finals
Global 5-0
Real Madrid vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
41%
21%
38%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RMA
4 - 0
ALM
92%
6%
2%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
BVB
2 - 0
RMA
16%
20%
64%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
RSO
0 - 4
RMA
8%
16%
76%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
RMA
3 - 0
BVB
79%
13%
8%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
EBT
0 - 2
BYM
4%
12%
85%
|
98 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BYM
5 - 1
KAI
91%
8%
2%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BYM
0 - 3
BVB
72%
17%
12%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
BYM
3 - 1
MUD
74%
16%
10%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AUG
1 - 0
BYM
4%
12%
84%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | 0 |