Champions League Last 16
Global 2-1
Real Madrid vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 1
RMA
15%
21%
64%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
RMA
4 - 2
CEL
79%
14%
8%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
BYM
1 - 1
RMA
33%
25%
43%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 4
RMA
15%
21%
64%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
67%
19%
14%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
LEV
1 - 3
BYM
31%
26%
44%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
BYM
2 - 0
WOL
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
BYM
1 - 1
RMA
33%
25%
43%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
BYM
1 - 0
HSV
68%
19%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
RTV
1 - 0
BYM
24%
25%
51%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |