Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Real Madrid vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
RMA
3 - 1
RAY
76%
15%
10%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
BYM
2 - 1
RMA
47%
25%
28%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SEV
0 - 1
RMA
24%
24%
52%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
RMA
3 - 1
ZAR
77%
15%
9%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
PAN
2 - 2
RMA
9%
18%
73%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
BYM
2 - 2
BRE
66%
20%
14%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
BYM
2 - 1
RMA
47%
25%
28%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
HSV
0 - 0
BYM
26%
26%
48%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BYM
3 - 0
KOL
72%
17%
11%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
BYM
2 - 1
NAN
70%
18%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |