Real Madrid vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
RMA
3 - 0
DEP
64%
21%
16%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
RAC
0 - 0
RMA
24%
24%
52%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2000 |
LEV
2 - 3
RMA
43%
25%
33%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATH
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
RMA
1 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
BRE
3 - 3
LEV
39%
25%
36%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
LEV
0 - 0
MUN
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2000 |
LEV
2 - 3
RMA
43%
25%
33%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
COT
1 - 2
LEV
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
LEV
3 - 2
SCP
59%
23%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |