Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Real Madrid vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
RMA
2 - 2
RAC
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
FCB
3 - 0
RMA
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
LEV
1 - 1
RMA
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
RMA
2 - 0
MLL
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
CDT
4 - 3
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
MSV
1 - 1
LEV
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ROS
1 - 2
LEV
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
LEV
1 - 1
RMA
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
LEV
0 - 0
ARB
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
MUN
3 - 4
LEV
28%
25%
47%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |