Europa League 1/32
Global 4-2
Real Madrid vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
CCF
2 - 2
RMA
21%
29%
50%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
RMA
3 - 0
CEL
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
BAS
1 - 2
RMA
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
BUR
1 - 2
RMA
23%
29%
49%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
RMA
2 - 0
BET
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
BAS
1 - 2
RMA
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
BAS
1 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 0
BAS
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
2 - 1
SPA
28%
22%
50%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
3 - 2
BAS
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |