Supercopa Final
Global 4-4Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GET
2 - 1
RMA
6%
15%
79%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
FCB
3 - 2
RMA
44%
21%
35%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
90%
7%
3%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
RMA
2 - 0
CEL
93%
5%
2%
|
99 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 5
RMA
11%
18%
71%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 2
FCB
7%
17%
76%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
FCB
3 - 2
RMA
44%
21%
35%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 1
SAM
93%
5%
2%
|
98 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FCB
5 - 1
RSO
92%
6%
2%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DBU
0 - 2
FCB
7%
16%
78%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |