Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SEV
2 - 4
RMA
40%
25%
34%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
RMA
3 - 2
GET
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
REC
0 - 1
RMA
20%
24%
56%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
RMA
2 - 0
VAD
76%
15%
10%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 1
RMA
22%
24%
55%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
FCB
0 - 0
CHL
55%
23%
22%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VCF
2 - 2
FCB
30%
24%
46%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FCB
4 - 0
SEV
69%
18%
13%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GET
0 - 1
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
BYM
1 - 1
FCB
34%
25%
42%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |