Champions League Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
RSO
3 - 0
RMA
27%
25%
48%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
50%
23%
27%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
RMA
4 - 1
CDT
83%
12%
6%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
OSA
3 - 1
RMA
18%
24%
58%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
RMA
2 - 0
BYM
59%
21%
19%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
4 - 1
VIL
75%
15%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
50%
23%
27%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 1
FCB
43%
24%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
3 - 2
ALA
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
3 - 1
PAN
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |