Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1986 |
RMA
3 - 0
NEX
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
HER
0 - 3
RMA
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1986 |
RMA
4 - 0
CEL
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
RMA
2 - 1
SEV
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
ATH
1 - 2
RMA
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1986 |
FCB
1 - 0
JUV
62%
23%
16%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
FCB
4 - 0
VAD
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1986 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATM
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
CAD
1 - 3
FCB
18%
24%
57%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
UDL
3 - 0
FCB
19%
24%
56%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |