Champions League Semi-finals
Global 6-2Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
UDL
0 - 1
RMA
15%
20%
66%
|
92 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
RMA
4 - 0
RSO
93%
5%
2%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
GRA
3 - 4
RMA
16%
21%
63%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
RMA
1 - 0
VAD
92%
6%
3%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
72%
15%
13%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
FCB
5 - 0
ZAR
94%
4%
2%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCB
18%
22%
59%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 1
VCF
91%
6%
3%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1960 |
BIR
0 - 0
FCB
18%
21%
62%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
BET
0 - 3
FCB
18%
21%
60%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |