Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 3-7Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1959 |
RMA
2 - 0
REI
87%
8%
5%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
23%
23%
54%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
RMA
3 - 1
SEV
90%
7%
3%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
43%
23%
35%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1959 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
88%
8%
4%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1959 |
FCB
4 - 3
BET
96%
3%
1%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
BET
0 - 6
FCB
17%
20%
62%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
FCB
6 - 0
SPO
95%
4%
1%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
SPO
0 - 0
FCB
13%
19%
67%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1959 |
FCB
4 - 0
INT
90%
7%
3%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |